Irish Times/Ipsos/MRBI opinion poll: “Sinn Féin now second most popular party” in Republic

Converting surge to votes key for SF

  • Irish TimesSF now second most popular party: Sinn Féin is now the second most popular party in the Republic, according to the latest Irish Times/ Ipsos MRBI poll. The survey reveals a substantial increase in support for the party on the back of Martin McGuinness’s presidential election campaign.Sinn Féin is now narrowly ahead of the Labour Party and Fianna Fáil, with the party attracting almost the same support as Mr McGuinness… When people were asked who they would vote for if a general election were to be held tomorrow, the figures for party support – when undecided voters are excluded – compared with the last Irish Times poll on July 20th were: Fine Gael, 35 per cent (down three points); Labour, 17 per cent (down one point); Fianna Fáil, 16 per cent (down two points); Sinn Féin, 18 per cent (up eight points); Green Party, 2 per cent (no change); and Independents/Others, 12 per cent (down two points).
  • Irish TimesSinn Féin steals show as Áras race invigorates the party: Sinn Féin is now the second most popular party in the Republic, behind only Fine Gael which has dropped three points (to 35 per cent) since our July poll… For political parties, a presidential campaign is an opportunity to energise the base and build the brand. Thus far, only Sinn Féin appears to be enjoying a boost in party support from participation in the race. There are no indications that either Fine Gael or Labour have enhanced their appeal since campaigning began …In almost 30 years of Irish Times/Ipsos MRBI polls, never has Sinn Féin reached 18 per cent support and never has the party been the most popular party in Ireland bar one. Sinn Féin has managed to effectively convert their presidential election profile into political party support through the efficiency of ideology. 
  • Irish TimesConverting surge to votes key for SF: ANALYSIS: Sinn Féin is the second most popular party for the first time but it cannot afford to rest on its laurels;
  • Irish Times (Editorial)Sinn Féin advances: SINN FÉIN has overtaken both Fianna Fáil and the Labour Party to become the second largest party in the State, according to the latest Irish Times /IpsosMRBI opinion poll.The finding has the potential to reshape the political landscape once again and demonstrates that those shifts in allegiance that marked the general election campaign remain active. The sudden surge in support for Sinn Féin is almost certainly linked to the presidential election campaign and the high-profile candidature of Martin McGuinness. But the party’s consistent emphasis on unemployment, falling living standards and cuts in services are likely to have played a significant role too.A striking aspect of the poll is that while satisfaction with the Government has dipped by only one point since last July, to 36 per cent, Sinn Féin has fashioned its remarkable advance, from 10 to 18 per cent of the popular vote, at the expense of all its major competitors.
  • Financial TimesSinn Féin set to capitalise on Irish discontent:
    Its analysis has a simple appeal. “Whether it’s British occupation of our country or whether it’s the IMF and the EU coming here to dictate economic terms, republicans have never accepted the status quo,” says Pearse Doherty, MP for Donegal South West and the party’s chief economics spokesman...
    … as a senior Irish official puts it, “this is a two election strategy for Sinn Féin”. Fine Gael and Labour are likely to form the next government, benefiting from the backlash against Fianna Fáil. But, after four or five years of further cuts and increased taxes, it may well be Sinn Féin who will be best placed to exploit the public anger if, as many analysts believe, the economy is still on its knees come the next election.
  • SF appear to have overtaken Labour and FF in the Irish Times poll;
  • Slugger O’TooleSinn Fein pass Fianna Fail in Irish Times poll…;
  • An PhoblachtPoll rise for Sinn Féin shows people responding to alternative – Mary Lou;
  • Irish Central Fine Gael and media attacks hand Martin McGuinness a major victory;
  • Nuacht24.comSinn Féin – ag fás leo i rith an ama: Fuarthas fianaise bhreise ar an dul chun cinn atá déanta ag Sinn Féin sa phobalbhreith is déanaí Irish Times inniu. De réir sin tá Sinn Féin ar an dara páirtí is mó a bhfuil dúil ag an phobal ann. Shaothraigh siad 18% sa phobalbhreith, pointe amháin chun tosaigh ar Pháirtí an Lucht Oibre, 17% agus Fianna Fáil 16%.
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