From Michael Lewis in Vanity Fair – It’s the Economy, Dummkopf!
The Greeks not only have massive debts but are still running big deficits. Trapped by an artificially strong currency, they cannot turn these deficits into surpluses, even if they do everything that outsiders ask them to do. Their exports, priced in euros, remain expensive. The German government wants the Greeks to slash the size of their government, but that will also slow economic growth and reduce tax revenues. And so one of two things must happen. Either Germans must agree to a new system in which they would be fiscally integrated with other European countries as Indiana is integrated with Mississippi: the tax dollars of ordinary Germans would go into a common coffer and be used to pay for the lifestyle of ordinary Greeks. Or the Greeks (and probably, eventually, every non-German) must introduce “structural reform,” a euphemism for magically and radically transforming themselves into a people as efficient and productive as the Germans. The first solution is pleasant for Greeks but painful for Germans. The second solution is pleasant for Germans but painful, even suicidal, for Greeks…
That was what the currency union always implied: entire peoples had to change their ways of life. Conceived as a tool for integrating Germany into Europe, and preventing Germans from dominating others, it has become the opposite. For better or for worse, the Germans now own Europe. If the rest of Europe is to continue to enjoy the benefits of what is essentially a German currency, they need to become more German…
…during the boom German bankers had gone out of their way to get dirty. They lent money to American subprime borrowers, to Irish real-estate barons, to Icelandic banking tycoons to do things that no German would ever do. The German losses are still being toted up, but at last count they stand at $21 billion in the Icelandic banks, $100 billion in Irish banks, $60 billion in various U.S. subprime-backed bonds, and some yet-to-be-determined amount in Greek bonds… In their own country, however, these seemingly crazed bankers behaved with restraint. The German people did not allow them to behave otherwise. It was another case of clean on the outside, dirty on the inside. The German banks that wanted to get a little dirty needed to go abroad to do it…
What Germans did with money between 2003 and 2008 would never have been possible within Germany, as there was no one to take the other side of the many deals they did which made no sense. They lost massive sums, in everything they touched. Indeed, one view of the European debt crisis—the Greek street view—is that it is an elaborate attempt by the German government on behalf of its banks to get their money back without calling attention to what they are up to. The German government gives money to the European Union rescue fund so that it can give money to the Irish government so that the Irish government can give money to Irish banks so the Irish banks can repay their loans to the German banks. “They are playing billiards,” says Enderlein. “The easier way to do it would be to give German money to the German banks and let the Irish banks fail.”
… The global financial system may exist to bring borrowers and lenders together, but it has become over the past few decades something else too: a tool for maximizing the number of encounters between the strong and the weak, so that one might exploit the other. Extremely smart traders inside Wall Street investment banks devise deeply unfair, diabolically complicated bets, and then send their sales forces out to scour the world for some idiot who will take the other side of those bets. During the boom years a wildly disproportionate number of those idiots were in Germany.
- Update: DEPFA: the €35 Billion German Debt Grenade at the heart of the Irish Balance Sheet;
- Greece faces ‘massive loss of sovereignty’ – Juncker (Guest Post);
- Guest Post: “This is not economics, this is war” (Kate Bopp, North Tipperary);
- “Greece – It’s all about bailing out French and German Banks… Ireland is waiting for an excuse to claim it was pushed.” (David Malone);
- Guest Post: Fischer – Germany was being “disingenuous” in discounting the culpability of German bank;
- Germans Gambled €88.4B on Kasino Irland;
- Financial Times: “Germany & France have no business pinning Ireland to floor when Irish taxpayers are picking up the colossal bill for European banks”;
- David Malone: Kasino Irland – Irish regulator had teeth “removed along with his balls a long time ago”;
- Wall Street Journal: EU is “Beating Up the Irish”;
- Mish: “One Size Fits Germany” – ECB Policy;
- Guest Post: Sacrificing Ireland’s Children to hold the Eurozone Together: The 24/March European Council Meeting;
- Where are the Lisbon Jobs Now? EU/ECB Epic Fail!;
- Spiegel: Opposition to Euro Grows… in Germany;
- Der Spiegel: Clinging to Euro will only prolong agony;
- John Maudlin: Germany, France, Bailout Own Banks & Devaluation vs. Deflation;
- StratFor – Germany’s Choice: Germany is no longer a passive observer with an open checkbook.