Irish Bishops: “spectre of social fragmentation and violence cannot be ruled out”


Domestic Political Violence Forecast Model

Domestic Political Violence Forecast Model - Predictive Societal Indicators of Radicalism

From Irish CentralBishops warn Irish economic crisis could lead to ‘incalculable suffering’:

Ireland’s Catholic bishops warned this week that the nations economic crisis, and the glaring disparities between rich and poor, could eventually lead to violence and “incalculable suffering” throughout the country.

In a new document issued days before Friday’s general election, the bishops criticised six-figure salaries paid to top executives while cuts are being made to the minimum wage and to state pensions…

…the bishops said, they are presenting a “vision for the country” at a time when emigration and rising unemployment are creating “insecurity and even despair…”

Read more.

See also:

  • Oil
  • Science DailyPredicting Political Hotspots: Professors’ Global Model Forecasts Civil Unrest Against Governments: “What’s interesting is that while our model predicts violence in countries like Honduras and Iran, it’s also predicting it in western democracies,” Murdie said. “For example, our model predicted violence in Ireland… In order to forecast domestic political violence, three concepts are accounted forCoercion is defined by violations of physical rights. This heightens the motivation of protestors… coordination, is how easily a domestic group can mobilizeCapacity… is the ability of a country to project itself throughout its territory, thus limiting the intensity of domestic violence against government.
  • Predictive Societal Indicators of RadicalismCatalyzing events or structural conditions? The Case of Ireland: …our model predicted increased domestic political violence in Ireland based on indicators of state coercion, government capacity, and group coordination, not based on any catalyzing event (like the bailout). This could indicate that Ireland was ripe for an increase in domestic political violence, even without this catalyzing event that ultimately led people to the street. For policymakers in the COCOMs, the ability to predict political violence without relying on catalyzing events is a good thing; it allows policymakers to plan a course of action without having to wait for these events.
Advertisements
This entry was posted in Accountability, Budget, Civil Disobedience, Civil Rights & Liberties, Economy, Elections, Emigration, Ideology, ireland and tagged . Bookmark the permalink.

Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s